This year's Committee for a
Workers' International (CWI - the socialist international organisation to which
the Socialist Party is affiliated) summer school met in the aftermath of the UK
vote for 'Brexit' in the 23 June referendum. Delegates from 34 countries
attended.
The referendum result has
undoubtedly shocked the capitalist class in Britain and worldwide and the
school's first session discussed these important developments and their effects
in Europe, introduced by Peter Taaffe from the CWI's International Secretariat.
Kevin Parslow summarises the key features of Peter's speech and the debate
which followed.
Europe - Britain
in particular - is now at the forefront of developments. Because of the
'weight' of British capitalism, Brexit represents a giant boulder dropped into
a lake. There will be an immediate ripple effect but the repercussions will be
felt for months and years.
To give a
measure of the potential scale of this crisis, the UK has the second biggest
economy in the EU and fifth in the world. As a comparison, its economy is 15
times bigger than Greece, which confronted ejection from the eurozone and the
EU in 2015.
The
consequences of the referendum were expressed by a front cover of the Economist
magazine entitled "Anarchy in the UK" - referencing the 40th
anniversary of the punk rock phenomenon! The rise in discontent reflects how
capitalist globalisation has stored up mass indignation, which is used to
inflict blows on the elite.
The
situation in the UK following the referendum continues to be covered in the
pages of the Socialist. However, 'Brexit' has also had huge repercussions
internationally. The International New York Times reported "US profits
shudder after Brexit'"! A stronger dollar against the pound and euro
reduces the value of American companies' earnings in Europe.
In Nigeria,
ethnic groups demanding independence are asking that if the UK can have a
referendum to leave the EU, why can't they have one to leave Nigeria?
But it is in
Europe that the main effects have so far been felt. In the first session of the
European Parliament after the referendum, Jean-Claude Juncker, president of the
European Commission, asked Ukip leader Nigel Farage: "Why are you
here?"
Juncker
reflects the deep exasperation and concern that the UK referendum might see
calamitous consequences in Europe, even the break-up of the eurozone and the EU
itself. The EU establishment is desperately trying to prevent 'contagion'.
There is now
deep gloom amongst the European capitalists and their political
representatives. Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte, with the far-right, anti-EU
Party for Freedom (PVV) ahead in national opinion polls, bluntly stated:
"England has collapsed politically, monetarily, constitutionally and
economically." In the Netherlands though, 47% of voters would like a vote
on EU membership.
Brexit has
put a new independence referendum in Scotland on the agenda. Scotland's First
Minister Nicola Sturgeon would like to stay in the EU. This has been rebutted
by the prime minister of the Spanish state, Mariano Rajoy, who has warned of
the consequences for European states if this is granted. This would give new
impetus to national groups, particularly in Catalonia and the Basque Country,
for independence from the Spanish state.
Sinn Féin
immediately called for a new poll on the Irish border following the referendum.
This risks a new outbreak of sectarianism - which must be countered through a
mass mobilisation of workers. Sinn Féin leaders commented that Northern Ireland
was forced out of the EU by 'Little Englanders'!
The
referendum result has had repercussions throughout Europe. Lucy Redler from Germany
pointed out that there was not a week without crisis in the EU. It was a
"spring and summer of discontent in the EU": The EU had told Ireland
it could not abolish the hated Water Tax, stronger militarisation of the EU had
been proposed and more and more opposition to the 'unreformable' EU was raising
its head. But in Die Linke (the Left Party), only she and one other national
committee member was opposed to the EU.
Divisions
International
Secretariat member Danny Byrne said the EU question has divided the left in
Europe and become a microcosm of the difference between a 'reformist' and a
'revolutionary' approach. This was now beginning to open up divisions in left
organisations.
The Left
Bloc in Portugal and the United Left (IU) in Spain were moving towards a policy
of breaking with the EU because of the effects of EU-imposed austerity in these
countries.
Peter
explained there is a huge eurosceptic mood in most countries. About 53% in an
opinion poll in France want a referendum on EU membership; but neither there
nor in the Netherlands is a majority yet for leaving the EU.
Greek
workers, following the EU-imposed austerity, are now the most eurosceptic; 92%
believe the EU badly handled the crisis. Not so long ago, Greece was the most
pro-European country but that was before being placed on the rack of EU
austerity. That has led to a collapse in support for the Syriza government.
This may hand opportunities to the Nazi Golden Dawn, now the third party in
opinion polls.
Andros from Xekinima
(CWI in Greece) said that for the Greek working class, the most important
development has been Brexit. There is very low mood in Greece following the
EU-imposed eye-watering austerity but new battles will come.
The general
European economic situation is dire. Because no improvement in conditions is
likely, capitalist commentators fear a domino effect through Europe. Italy
could be the next country to follow Britain out of the EU exit door. This would
just about finish the EU; already discussions have taken place about a
'two-tier' Europe. There is chronic economic stagnation in Italy. Broad swathes
of the population have had no rise in living standards for decades.
There is a
crisis in the banking system, including the world's oldest bank. Prime Minister
Renzi wants to recapitalise the banks (burdened with €330 billion of bad debts),
by government aid or nationalisation. Yet the EU is preventing this because it
opposes 'state intervention'!
This is
classical neoliberalism and poses further disasters for workers. However, Italy
could be the precursor of political developments elsewhere. The populist Five
Star Movement has had electoral successes and leads the opinion polls.
Far right
Germany has
seen the rise of the right-wing Alternative für Deutschland (Alternative for
Germany - AfD), that started as mainly an anti-euro party, but which has grown
to 11% support in opinion polls due to its virulently anti-migrant and
anti-refugee propaganda. (AfD is now trying to politically capitalise on the
recent attacks on bystanders by lone refugees in Germany).
Brexit will
have important economic effects on Germany. It is reliant on exports to UK, Spain,
Italy and Britain, which may be reduced if economic uncertainty takes hold.
Austria has
entered a serious political crisis with the presidential elections, narrowly
won by the Green party's candidate over the right-wing Freedom Party (FPÖ)
candidate. The election has to be rerun over a technicality. The FPÖ is anti-EU
and welcomed the UK's referendum result.
Battling against
the far right is a key question following the referendum as it can articulate
the anti-EU mood and fill the political vacuum left by the former workers'
parties. The struggle for new, independent left-wing mass parties is important
in this respect.
French
workers have been resisting up to now the worst aspects of neoliberalism,
including the government's determination to push through anti-working class
labour 'reforms', backed by the EU.
Given
current polls, President Hollande will be defeated in the first round of
presidential elections next year, if he stands. Marine Le Pen of the far-right
National Front (FN) is likely to be in the final round of voting. Le Pen also welcomed the Brexit vote and
strongly supports the idea of a referendum in France.
Spain has
seen two general elections in the last seven months and the left parties, on
the joint Unidos Podemos list in June's elections, lost a million votes between
the two.
Viki from
Spain said this was disappointing for the working class and youth (see issue
910 of the Socialist). Some believed the Brexit vote had a negative effect on
the left's vote as the electorate chose stability, although the left's
programme and campaign were not adequate.
In Ireland
the Anti-Austerity Alliance/People Before Profit TDs (MPs) in the Dáil (Irish
parliament) have been the only ones to welcome the referendum outcome. Irish
workers have suffered in the last few years from EU-imposed austerity.
Belgium has
also seen a strike wave, and Els from Belgium remarked that on the morning of
the referendum result, Belgian workers were on strike. The pickets saw Brexit
as a victory while their officials thought it was a mistake!
Poland is
symptomatic of developments in Eastern Europe. Governments there have embraced
neo-liberalism and the EU but the current politically right-wing nationalist
government has taken a certain tilt against the market in the direction of
'state capitalism'.
This is an
indication of a partial rejection of the effects of the market and the need for
a more 'regulated' capitalism including renationalisation. It raises the
question of the planned economy and a socialist alternative.
But a storm
cloud on the horizon in Eastern Europe is the increased tension with Russia,
not just over the Ukraine but also the spreading of Nato's (Western military
alliance) tentacles to the Baltic States. EU states in Eastern Europe have
hosted military manoeuvres in recent months
Peter
concluded by stating that we face a new disturbed period in Europe. The UK
referendum showed that a polarisation is taking place that will not necessarily
always take place on clear class lines.
But this is
provoking discussion and debate and forcing working people, and then the youth,
to attempt to think things out. This will bring new supporters to the CWI.
The
undermining of traditional capitalist parties throughout Europe is clear but in
the absence of fighting left organisations, we see the rise of right-wing
populism, which are largely anti-EU. We cannot see the struggle against the far
right as separate to the struggle of the workers' movement against austerity.
In new class
struggles we can look forward to the broader development of a socialist
consciousness than now. That will then pose the changing of society on
socialist grounds.
See www.socialistworld.net
for more from the CWI school as well as coverage of other key political issues
and reports of workers' struggles internationally
